Sepsis and Chronic Liver Disease: Mortality and Prognostic Factors. A 12-Year Retrospective Analytical-Descriptive Observational Study
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52787/agl.v56i3.616Keywords:
Chronic liver disease, sepsis, mortality, MELD scoreAbstract
Introduction. Patients with chronic liver disease are at increased risk of developing infections and sepsis. Although high mortality in this context is well documented, the prognostic factors associated with poorer survival in patients admitted to the ICU have not been fully defined.
Objective. To describe the characteristics of critically ill patients with chronic liver disease and sepsis, to determine mortality, and to analyze the factors associated with a poorer prognosis.
Methods. An observational, retrospective, descriptive and analytical study of a cohort of patients with chronic liver disease and a diagnosis of sepsis admitted to the ICU at the Hospital Clínico Universitario Lozano Blesa, in Zaragoza, Spain, between 2012 and 2023.
Results. A total of 71 patients were included, 69% were male, and 51% had alcohol-related liver disease. In the bivariate analysis, higher Child-Pugh and MELD scores at admission, elevated bilirubin and INR levels, as well as the type of infection, were associated with a poorer prognosis. The ICU mortality rate was 54.9%. Independent predictors of mortality were a higher MELD score at admission (OR: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.02–1.45), Gram-positive bacterial infection (OR: 7.58; 95% CI: 1.95–29.50), and fungal infection (OR: 7.36; 95% CI: 2.10–25.75).
Conclusion. Sepsis in patients with chronic liver disease is associated with high mortality. A higher MELD score at admission and the presence of Gram-positive bacterial or fungal infections were identified as independent prognostic factors for death.
References
-1. Ginès P, Krag A, Abraldes JG, Solà E, Fabrellas N, Kamath PS. Liver cirrhosis. Lancet. 2021;398:1359–1376. DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01374-X
-2. Zhou WC, Zhang QB, Qiao L. Pathogenesis of liver cirrhosis. World J Gastroenterol. 2014;20:7312–7324. DOI:10.3748/wjg.v20.i23.7312
-3. Ministry of Health, Spain. Mortality patterns in Spain, 2020. Madrid: Ministry of Health; 2020. Available from: https://www.sanidad.gob.es/estadEstudios/estadisticas/estadisticas/estMinisterio/mortalidad/docs/Patrones_mortalidad_Esp_2020.pdf
-4. Fortea JI, García I, Puente A, Crespo J. Hepatic cirrhosis. Med Clin (Barc). 2020;13(6):297–307. DOI:10.1016/j.med.2020.04.001
-5. Da Silveira F, Soares PHR, Marchesan LQ, da Fonseca RSA, Nedel WL. Assessing the prognosis of cirrhotic patients in the intensive care unit: what we know and what we need to know better. World J Hepatol. 2021;13:1341–1350. DOI:10.4254/wjh.v13.i10.1341
-6. Singer M, Deutschman CS, Seymour CW, et al. The Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3). JAMA. 2016;315:801–810. DOI:10.1001/jama.2016.0287
-7. Chiscano L, Plata E, Ruiz JC, Ferrer R. Pathophysiology of septic shock. Med Intensiva. 2022;46:1–13. DOI:10.1016/j.medine.2022.03.010
-8. Gustot T, Durand F, Lebrec D, Vincent JL, Moreau R. Severe sepsis in cirrhosis. Hepatology. 2009;50:2022–2033. DOI:10.1002/hep.23264
-9. Arvaniti V, D’Amico G, Fede G, Manousou P, Tsochatzis E, Pleguezuelo M, et al. Infections in patients with cirrhosis increase mortality four-fold and should be used in determining prognosis. Gastroenterology. 2010;139:1246–1256. DOI:10.1053/j.gastro.2010.06.019
-10. Dionigi E, Garcovich M, Borzio M, Leandro G, Majumdar A, Tsami A, et al. Bacterial infections change the natural history of cirrhosis irrespective of liver disease severity. Am J Gastroenterol. 2017;112:588–596. DOI:10.1038/ajg.2017.19
-11. Baudry T, Hernu R, Valleix B, Jahandiez V, Faucher E, Simon M, et al. Cirrhotic patients admitted to the ICU with septic shock: factors predicting short- and long-term outcome. Shock. 2019;52:408–413. DOI:10.1097/SHK.0000000000001282
-12. Sauneuf B, Champigneulle B, Soummer A, Mongardon N, Charpentier J, Cariou A, et al. Increased survival of cirrhotic patients with septic shock. Crit Care. 2013;17:R78. DOI:10.1186/cc12687
-13. Martin R, Albillos A. Sepsis in patients with cirrhosis awaiting liver transplantation: new trends and management. Liver Transpl. 2019;25:1700–1709. DOI:10.1002/lt.25621
-14. Bernal W. The liver in systemic disease: sepsis and critical illness. Clin Liver Dis. 2016;8:6–9. DOI:10.1002/cld.543
-15. Atteberry P, Biederman B, Jesudian A, Lucero C, Brown RS, Verna E, et al. Mortality, sepsis, and organ failure in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis vary by type of infection. J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2021;36:3363–3370. DOI:10.1111/jgh.15633
-16. Simonetto DA, Piccolo L, Gallo A, Gajic O, Kamath PS. Management of sepsis in patients with cirrhosis: current evidence and practical approach. Hepatology. 2019;70:418–428. DOI: 10.1002/hep.30412
-17. Liu W, Hong H, Li W, Liu L, Xue D, Zhang J, et al. Clinical characteristics of bacterial infections in patients with liver cirrhosis. Chin J Infect Chemother. 2020;20:601–606. DOI:10.16718/j.1009-7708.2020.06.003
-18. Arabi YM, Dara SI, Memish Z, Al Abdulmajeed A, Tamim HM, Al-Shirawi N, et al. Antimicrobial therapeutic determinants of outcomes from septic shock among patients with cirrhosis. Hepatology. 2012;56:2305–2315. DOI:10.1002/hep.25931
-19. Galbois A, Bigé N, Pichereau C, Boëlle PY, Baudel JL, Bourcier S, et al. Exploration of skin perfusion in cirrhotic patients with septic shock. J Hepatol. 2015;62:549–555. DOI:10.1016/j.jhep.2014.10.012
-20. Das V, Boelle PY, Galbois A, Guidet B, Maury E, Carbonell N, et al. Cirrhotic patients in the medical intensive care unit: early prognosis and long-term survival. Crit Care Med. 2010;38:2108–2116. DOI:10.1097/CCM.0b013e3181f3dea
-21. Ruiz S, Castillo L, Malca J, Valderrama J, Aguilar G. Predictors of infection and mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis in a high-complexity hospital, Virgen de la Puerta, Trujillo, Peru. Rev Gastroenterol Peru. 2019;39(1):55–63. Available from: http://www.scielo.org.pe/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1022-51292019000100008&lng=es&nrm=iso
-22. Elzouki AN, Suliman S, Alhasan R, Abdullah A, Othman M, Badi A; et al. Predicting mortality of patients with cirrhosis admitted to medical intensive care unit: An experience of a single tertiary center. Arab Journal of Gastroenterology, 2016;17(4):159-163. DOI:10.1016/j.ajg.2016.11.003
-23. Levesque E, Hoti E, Azoulay D, Ichaï P, Habouchi H, Castaing D, et al. Prospective evaluation of the prognostic scores for cirrhotic patients admitted to an intensive care unit. J Hepatol. 2012;56:95–102. DOI:10.1016/j.jhep.2011.06.024
-24. Dasgupta A, Jones TK, Giannini H, Bennett R, Emre G, Ittner CAG, et al. Identifying a unique signature of sepsis in patients with pre-existing cirrhosis. Crit Care. 2025;29:199. DOI:10.1186/s13054-025-05423-6
-25. Bajaj JS, Kamath PS, Reddy KR. The evolving challenge of infections in cirrhosis. N Engl J Med. 2021;384:2317–2330. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMra2021808
-26. Kamath PS, Wiesner RH, Malinchoc M, Kremers W, Therneau TM, Kosberg CL, et al. A model to predict survival in patients with end-stage liver disease. Hepatology. 2001;33(2):464–470. DOI:10.1053/jhep.2001.22172
-27. Von Maldeghem E, Zimmermann K, Mester P, Pavel V, Athanasoulas G, Kirsch L, et al. Sepsis drives severity and mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure among ICU patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis: a retrospective single-center study. J Clin Med. 2025;14:7025. DOI:10.3390/jcm14197025
-28. Weil D, Levesque E, McPhail M, Cavallazzi R, Theocharidou E, Cholongitas E, Galbois A, Pan HC, Karvellas CJ, Sauneuf B, Robert R, Fichet J, Piton G, Thevenot T, Capellier G, Di Martino V; METAREACIR Group. Prognosis of cirrhotic patients admitted to intensive care unit: a meta-analysis. Ann Intensive Care. 2017 Dec;7(1):33. DOI:10.1186/s13613-017-0249-6
-29. Castillo Luna A, Longo C, Landeira G, Fernández Lausi A, Priore G, Gualano G, et al. Las infecciones por bacterias multirresistentes en la cirrosis modifican el pronóstico de los pacientes. Acta Gastroenterol Latinoam. 2017;47(4):243–251.
-30. Gerling NA, Garate C, Furlong O, Izcovich A, Tortosa FG, García Dans C. Análisis de criterios diagnósticos y escores pronósticos en pacientes internados con presunción de hepatitis alcohólica. Acta Gastroenterol Latinoam. 2019;49(1):14–21.
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 María Begoña Zalba Etayo, Eva De Diego-García, Héctor Mercado-Castillo, José Luis Cabrerizo-García

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.










